21 Jul · 00:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1485
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sulava
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1490
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sulava
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H20-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.