20 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1322
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Svec
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1308
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Svec stays under total as favourite 63% (30)
Fair odds · Svec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H18-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.