20 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JF
🇨🇿Jiri Foltynek
ELO 1372
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Foltynek
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Martinec
ELO 1368
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Foltynek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.