20 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MP
🇨🇿Martin Parzhizek
ELO 1780
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Parzhizek
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1760
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🌟Opanasiuk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (72)
Fair odds · Parzhizek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.