20 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1760
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Medek
JM
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1832
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Opanasiuk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (72)
Fair odds · Medek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.