20 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1805
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zajicek
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1760
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Opanasiuk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (72)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.