20 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1558
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bereiter
MB
🇨🇿Marek Bereiter
ELO 1560
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Machander covers set handicap as underdog 62% (56)
Fair odds · Bereiter
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.