20 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1529
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Byrtus
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1534
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Byrtus🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (61)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.