20 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1554
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Trinta
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1490
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H31-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.