20 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1329
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hejduk
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1308
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Hejduk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Hejduk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H6-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.