20 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1534
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Heczko
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1541
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heczko🌟Heczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (43)
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H11-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.