20 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Svechota
ELO 1661
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svechota
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1632
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Svechota stays under total as favourite 66% (41)
Fair odds · Svechota
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H11-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.