20 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1584
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1632
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H91-152
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.