20 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Svechota
ELO 1661
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svechota
JS
🇨🇿Jan Simecek
ELO 1615
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Svechota stays under total as favourite 66% (41)
Fair odds · Svechota
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.