20 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1371
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Madle
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1322
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Madle rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (67)
Fair odds · Madle
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 43% · 2.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H18-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.