21 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1427
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Regner
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1455
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Didi stays under total as underdog 64% (87)
Fair odds · Regner
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.