20 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1577
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolar
VP
🇨🇿Vladimir Postelt
ELO 1564
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Postelt🌟Postelt covers set handicap as underdog 63% (43)
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 36% · 2.77· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H7-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.