20 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1805
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zajicek
ZB
🇨🇿Zdenek Bilek
ELO 1738
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Bilek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (37)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H29-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.