20 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1560
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chalupa
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1587
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Chalupa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (90)
Fair odds · Chalupa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H1-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.