20 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tyn
ELO 1405
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tyn
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1401
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Tyn goes over total as favourite 67% (21)
Fair odds · Tyn
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 33% · 3.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.