21 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1543
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zmuda
MP
🇨🇿Marek Placek
ELO 1527
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.