20 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1593
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vondrak
KS
🇨🇿Karel Schopf
ELO 1588
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Schopf🌟Vondrak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (55)
Fair odds · Vondrak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H13-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.