20 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1554
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Trinta
RH
🇨🇿Rotislav Hasmanda
ELO 1529
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Hasmanda covers set handicap as underdog 63% (78)
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H20-56
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.