21 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1487
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Steffan
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1485
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Steffan
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H27-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.