20 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1518
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Regner
MR
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1576
FormWLWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zuzanek🌟Regner rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (93)
Fair odds · Regner
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H41-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.