20 Jul · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZB
🇨🇿Zdenek Bilek
ELO 1738
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Medek
JM
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1832
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
🌟Bilek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (37)
Fair odds · Medek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+94
H2H33-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-12)