20 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Plachta
ELO 1566
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Prikasky
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1658
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
🌟Plachta covers set handicap as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+92
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)