20 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1605
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vedmoch
VP
🇨🇿Vladimir Postelt
ELO 1564
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Postelt🌟Postelt covers set handicap as underdog 63% (43)
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H16-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.