20 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1499
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dousa
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1472
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🌟Dousa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (66)
Fair odds · Dousa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H29-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.