20 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MG
🇨🇿Matej Grundel
ELO 1634
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Prikasky
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1658
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Grundel covers set handicap as underdog 68% (37)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.