21 Jul · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Rotislav Hasmanda
ELO 1529
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hasmanda
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1487
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Hasmanda stays under total as favourite 68% (71)
Fair odds · Hasmanda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H21-44
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.