21 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1485
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hasmanda
RH
🇨🇿Rotislav Hasmanda
ELO 1529
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Hasmanda stays under total as favourite 68% (71)
Fair odds · Hasmanda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H17-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.