20 Jul · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1406
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Trinta
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1554
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+148
H2H17-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)