20 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1412
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Virag
AV
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1448
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zientek🌟Virag rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (29)
Fair odds · Virag
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H13-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.