21 Jul · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1490
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Trinta
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1554
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H31-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.