20 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇨🇿Karel Schopf
ELO 1588
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Schopf
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1554
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vejvoda🌟Schopf rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (31)
Fair odds · Schopf
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H2-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.