20 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VH
🇨🇿Vladimir Havlicek
ELO 1465
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1605
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+140
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)