20 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1468
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Plachy
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1472
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Plachy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (83)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H57-60
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.