20 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1490
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sulava
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1406
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sulava
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 34% · 2.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+84
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.