20 Jul · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AB
🇨🇿Adam Brazda
ELO 1481
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Just
FJ
🇨🇿Frantisek Just
ELO 1568
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Just
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+87
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)