20 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FJ
🇨🇿Frantisek Just
ELO 1568
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hradecky
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hradecky
ELO 1606
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Hradecky goes over total as favourite 63% (41)
Fair odds · Hradecky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.