21 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇨🇿Marek Placek
ELO 1527
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Placek
JT
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1493
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Placek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.