21 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1467
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bruzek
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1429
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Bruzek stays under total as favourite 78% (27)
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.