21 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrabec
ELO 1546
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hrabec
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1453
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+93
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)