21 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RV
🇨🇿Radomir Vavrecka
ELO 1550
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vavrecka
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1524
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heczko🌟Vavrecka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (41)
Fair odds · Vavrecka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.