21 Jul · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1618
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vinter
KK
🇨🇿Karel Kapras
ELO 1502
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Kapras stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Vinter
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 38% · 2.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+116
H2H2-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)