21 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1516
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jasek
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1451
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Jasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (46)
Fair odds · Jasek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+65
H2H17-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.