21 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1447
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Andrle
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1438
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pleskot🌟Andrle rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (48)
Fair odds · Andrle
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.