21 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1341
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Grohsgott
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1324
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
🌟Grohsgott stays under total as favourite 64% (107)
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H15-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.