21 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Varnuska
ELO 1509
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Parhomenko
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1513
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.